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Monday 12 December 2011

MCX News for 13-12-2011


Saudi pumps record 10mbpd crude oil in November, OPEC meeting looms

Updated 12:05:00 IST 13 Dec 2011
Saudi Arabia has pumped an amazing 10 million barrels of crude oil per day in November at a time when countries like Iran and Venezuela are calling for reduced output in order to keep oil prices above $100/barrel


Investment demand for Gold Bars has risen in India and this is despite jewelry sales appearing subdued given the high price of the precious metal and the separate making charges involved with each piece of jewelry. Investors who had purchased Gold Bars two months ago are dipping into their savings yet again and purchasing bars and coins, said traders.

For the coming week in non ferrous complex copper may remain buoyant as rising cancelled warrants and expectation of higher imports in December due to good arbitrage opportunity may lend support to red metal which may test levels of Rs.420/kg.

Turmeric futures expected to extend downtrend on Tuesday due to higher stocks from the fresh crop, weak export demand and on expectations of higher production in the next year.

source- commodityonline.com

Saturday 26 November 2011

Free Agri Commodity tips on your mobile 28-11-2011


Bullion News

'Think about silver before investing'

When I first discovered why I should buy silver and protect myself from the coming devaluation of our currencies, it still took me a few months to act because there is a lot of misinformation surrounding this precious metal.


'Gold stocks bounce back and outperform silver in 2012'
Gold stocks may have been under performing investor expectations for many months, but that could be changing very soon. Silver had that intermediate top early in the year with a parabolic blowoff move. Since then I've been focusing more on gold. In the near term and into next year it looks like gold is going to outperform silver. The larger gold stocks have been showing better performance than silver stocks and juniors, said Jordan Roy-Byrne in this exclusive interview.

India silver imports to be lower in 2011: Scotia Mocatta
Silver imports into India may be lower in 2011 as higher prices keep buyers at bay, an official of Scotia Mocatta said on Thursday. 2010 imports had stood at around 3030 tonnes.

Why a $1500/oz gold is on the cards
Traders are driving gold prices down in the knowledge that many positions are geared (leveraged) and exposed to margin calls. Other positions are protected by 'stop loss' instructions, so can be triggered by prices moving down through support levels.

Metals News

Commodities weaken on significant negative news flow

Lead has been the weakest metal since the start of the year compared to other metals as China has reduced the usage and production of lead-acid batteries due to environmental issues in the country. I expect prices to remain under pressure for the coming quarter.


'Supply surplus likely to keep tarnish on nickel'
Nickel is heading into a period of structural supply surplus and will also be affected by the vagaries of the global economy, said BNP Paribas in a briefing.

Mineral deposits under ocean not vast enough: Expert
The vast minerals deposits under the ocean is not expected to meet the world demand for metals, according to a study by Mark Hannington, the University of Ottawa’s Goldcorp Chair in Economic Geology.

Japan rolled copper output declines fourth straight month
Japan's October rolled copper output recorded the fourth straight Year-on-Year (YoY) decline, the Japan Copper and Brass Association reported. October output fell by 11.5% YoY to 64,318 tonnes. On a Month-on-Month basis, output is down 8% from September.

Oil & Oilseeds News

China's soybean imports dip on weak demand, high stock piles

On the back of higher stockpiles and weak demand for soybean, the imports of the commodity by China may dip for the first time since 2004.

Soybean farmers to have rust resistant seed variety soon
Soybean farmers may get new variety of genetically modified seeds in near term, which are rust resistant.
Argentina's soy bean production to gain 0.6% for 2011-12
Argentina, the third largest producer of soybean has estimated the production for 2011-12 to increase to around 49.5 million tons (mt) compared to 49.2 million tons in 2010-11, according to Rosario Grain Exchange.

India to import 9 mn tons of edible oil in 2011-12
Vegetable oil imports of India likely to rise by 9 million tons in 2011-12 to meet the growing domestic demand for the commodity, according to Solvent Extractors’ Association (SEA) source:-commodityonline.com 

Thursday 10 November 2011

free forex currency tips on your mobile 11-11-2011


India gold slips from 2-month high

 India gold slipped from its morning high on Wednesday as investors chose to take profits after a rally that took it to a more than two months high triggered by safe haven buying, but traders hoped for bigger falls to stock up for weddings, dealers said.
* The most-active gold for December delivery on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) was 0.08 percent lower at 28,757 rupees per 10 grams, reversing from an earlier high of 28,830 rupees, a level last seen on Sept. 6.
* Physical buying stayed weak as prices were still in the vicinity of the 2-month high, and traders waited for better bargains.
* "Buying is poor as prices are still high... any correction in price will see buying from India re-emerge," said a dealer with a private, bullion-importing bank in Mumbai.
* The wedding season -- traditionally a time of strong demand for gold -- will continue into December in India, the world's biggest buyer of bullion.
* Firm global leads and a weaker rupee kept the downside in prices limited, dealers said.
* The rupee fell to its lowest in more than two weeks on Wednesday after a large company bought dollars, while choppy shares provided little comfort.
* Global gold inched up on fears the euro zone debt crisis could engulf Italy, despite news that Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi would resign, which was initially seen as clearing the way for a new leader to act more aggressively to tackle the country's debt problems.
* Berlusconi said he would leave office after parliament approved a budget law that included reforms demanded by Europe as Italy's failure to fix its debt problems would have a far bigger impact on the euro zone than difficulties in Greece. Source:- moneycontrol.com

Target for MCX crude Nov at Rs 4,855-4,880:

Ramaswamy, head commodities at Ventura Securities has come out with a report on crude oil. He says, “Crude looks to be continuing on the upside now, therefore one could remain long in crude oil."
He is expecting targets of Rs 4,855 to Rs 4,880 for intraday with a stop loss of Rs 4,770.
According to an atomic power agency report, the rising tensions of the Iran nuclear programme has further pushed the commodity and so his target is close to USD 98 per barrel.
"With regards to copper, it’s a buy in the range of Rs 390 to Rs 392,"said Ramaswamy. He says, we could expect price levels of Rs 396 to Rs 398 on an intraday perspective, with a stop loss of Rs 388. Source:- moneycontrol.com   

Bullion News
Something that you often hear about gold, as a monetary asset, is that the supply of gold – the amount of gold in the world – increases by about 2% each year due to Gold Mining activities, writes Nathan Lewis, of New World Economics. We don't really consume gold. Most of the gold that has ever been mined (the US Geological Survey estimates 85%) still exists today as bars, coins and jewellery. Even the small bit that is used in industry is often recycled
Gold prices have broken above the $1750 level and COMEX gold is currently trading around $1790/oz. Traditionally, the November-December season has been bullish for gold.
China's imports of Gold from Hong Kong, leapfrogged by 470% in September as per data released by the Hong Kong government. Chinese imports from Hong Kong are considered a good indicator of overall Chinese demand since the Chinese government does not release official figures..


Metals News
Scrap copper market in Guangdong province, the major centre for copper scrap, is facing a tightness in supply because of strict customs crackdown. Most refined copper production in the region uses scrap copper as the primary raw material and as such a decline in the raw material may provide support to copper prices.
COMEX copper fell on Tuesday as the euro pared gains and political uncertainty increased after Italy's Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi lost his parliamentary majority, piling pressure on him to resign.
Base metals and steel billets futures traded on a mixed trend at the London Metal Exchange on Tuesday. LME Copper price pushed up 0.57% to $7820per ton as compared with its previous close of $7775 per ton.

Oil & Oilseeds News
The future of Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO) appears bleak as the Malaysian Palm Oil Association (MPOA)had warned the certification association on the low uptake of certified palm oil by the members.
Agricultural commodity futures trading in India has witnessed a surge in the first six months of fiscal year 2011-12 registering a growth of 55.45% at Rs 9,32,792 cr.
The India government, in a bid to incentivize production of oil seeds have decided to give a fillip in the form of MSP hike for mustard seed and several other commodities. Also, the government hiked the MSP for wheat, but not to the same extent that it decided in case of mustard seed.So, will the hike in MSP for mustard seed affect its prices negatively on the NCDEX? If yes, when and to what extent? Will the hike in MSP’s for oil seed would be at the cost of wheat production? Sudha Acharya, oil seed/pulses analyst with Kotak Commodities gives the answers to Rakesh Neelakandan of Commodity Online in an interview.

Thursday 3 November 2011

MCX Tips- 04-Nov.-2011

Gold targets $2350 as Wave 5 begins, $1680 critical
It’s been several weeks since I’ve written about Gold and we have had a wild ride since the $1910-$1920 highs in August. At the time as we approached I forecasted a major correction was due and we were shorting the rise from $1862-$1910 prior to a huge $208 drop that took place over just a few days. We covered our short at $1725 and then Gold rallied back to a double top at $1920 and then fell back to $1531.
India festival season to see blossoming of silver demand
The October-December quarter is expected to bring 250-300 tonnes of silver demand from India alone, a 50% increase over 2010 levels. Gold, which is significantly more expensive in nominal terms, especially after fears of a European Debt Crisis contagion event, is expected to see a smaller 30-40% increase in demand.
'Gold price to pullback to $1,900/oz levels'
Michael Berry turns his high-powered analysis toward the European debt crisis and what it means for gold in this exclusive interview.

More On Bullion News
  • MCX Gold and Silver outlook for November 3
  • ‘Silver hits record levels of mine production since 2004’
  • Marc Faber’s 'Rule of 25': Allocate 25% each for gold, equities
  • MF Global collapse haunts Indian investors too
  • Gold falls into bad times on both fundamentals and technicals
  • MCX Gold and Silver fundamental outlook for November 2, 2011
  • Silver to face the wrath of the 'Death Cross' ?
  • Royal Canadian Mint launches gold exchange traded receipts
  • Why copper, platinum and silver look appealing now
  • 75 Gold and diamond ATM machines to be rolled out in India
  • 'Gold poised for a move significantly higher'
  • Royal Canadian Mint unveils silver coin to commemorate the Highway of Heroes

Tuesday 1 November 2011

Commodity OIL News 02 - NOV - 2011

More On Oil & Oilseeds News
  • Sustainable palm oil market uptakes at 70% in Sept: RSPO 
  • Three reasons why soybeans are trading high on NCDEX
  • Palm oil tariffs: If Indonesia can, why can't India?
  • CBOT soybean rally on Chinese imports, supply scarcity
  • Pork industry now swings wildly in China: Rabobank
  • Malaysia crude palm oil futures gain on India festive demand, US market cues
  • Bio-diesel demand promoting UK rapeseed farming
  • Commodity bull rally is back!
  • China's ZCE to introduce methanol Futures soon
  • CPO prices may go down as Indonesia plans to expand exports of RPO
  • Jim Rogers on the great advantage & disaster of commodity investing
  • India edible oil prices may weaken on extension of export ban
US Agriculture to get boost from Asian markets
In 2011, China moved ahead of Mexico and Canada as the United States' number one market for U.S. agricultural goods. Vietnam is one of the world's fastest growing economies and an important market for U.S. agricultural products, now valued at $1.3 billion. In the past decade, Vietnam jumped from the fiftieth (50) to fifteenth (15) position as a market for U.S. farm exports.
Kudzu bug threatens US soybean crops
US soybean crops finds new threat from Kudzu bug-- the bug which was considered the remedy for the threat from kudzu plant--turns out to be cancer for the legume.
Mustard seed, chana climbs on spot prices, festive demand
NCDEX mustard seed is climbing as spot prices rule high and festive demand continues. Mustard seed October contract has climbed 2.4% to touch Rs.2894 on the NCDEX during the evening session.

Silver news 02 - NOV - 2011


SILVER NEWS FOR SILVER TRADER 
·         Silver is a very ductile and malleable metal used for thousands of years for ornaments and utensils, for trade, and as the basis for many monetary systems. Its value as a precious metal was long considered second only to gold. In Ancient Egypt and Medieval Europe, it was often more valuable than gold.
·         
·         Silver mining was a driving force in the settlement of western North America, with major booms for silver and associated minerals (primarily lead) in the galena ore silver is most commonly found in.  source:- www.commodityonline.com

Commodity News on 02 - NOV - 2011

 Copper, other base metals to trade lower on weak China manufacturing data
·         COMEX Copper declines on strong dollar
·         'Chinese aluminium imports advance 40% y/y in September'
·         Iron ore prices will fall further: China Steel Association
·         US Zinc to raise zinc oxide and dust prices by 5-7%
·         German steel industry loses momentum, blast furnace closures likely
·         Will commodity relief rally sustain?
·         Collahuasi copper mine strike ends, Chile production falls 1.9%
·         Mixed trend in LME prices; Lead advances 1.7%
·         COMEX Copper posts biggest weekly rally in over 30 years
·         Metals-Energy Update: Copper, silver gain over 7% as commodities rally
Base metals to be impacted by both bullish and bearish factors


Zinc market to be in deficit in 2012
Zinc prices have been weak due to a surplus in zinc markets. However, this might be about to change as one analyst claims that the zinc markets may be in deficit in 2012
Metals, energy weaken on China data, MF Global collapse
On Tuesday Brent Crude prices have fallen 1.5% to $107.89 a barrel while WTI crude prices have falen 1.79% to $91.52 per barrel. US copper futures have fallen 2.12% to $3.55/lb. .
LME prices in red; zinc the only base metal in green
The Base metals and Steel billets futures declined on the London Metal Exchange on Friday. Aluminium Alloy, aluminium, copper, nickel, lead, tin and steel closed in negative while zinc remained the only base metal to gain at 1918 a metric ton. source:- www.commodityonline.com



Friday 28 October 2011

Commodity News on 28-Oct-2011

  • MCX cardamom tumbles 2.68% on arrival pressure
  • Cardamom futures traded down on Friday due to rising arrivals from the fresh crop amid
  • NCDEX chana drops 1.09% on profit taking
  • India soybean weakens on ample supply
  • NCDEX November jeera jumps 1.53%
  • NCDEX wheat plunges 1.73% on production concerns
  • NCDEX jeera edges higher on bargain buying
  • Gold set to crash to $1000/oz in 3 years on potential surplus
  • MCX gold trades lower on positive US Q3 GDP
  • Bullish factors remain dominant for gold: Martin Murenbeeld
  • ‘Gold prices to shoot up from $1723.8 to $1,900/oz in 2012
  • Exxon Mobil Q3 profit surges 40% to $10.33 billion on higher oil prices
  • Is US biofuel production going to double in a decade?
  • WTI crude oil to hit $105: BofAML
  • U.S. could provide 71% of world's Biofuels by 2021



India GDP growth to beat China by 2013: Ernst&Young
With the Indian GDP slowing down and inflation rising, some may not believe the India Story, but by 2013, India could actually overtake China in terms of GDP growth. A report by Ernst& Young forecasts Indian GDP to be at 9.5% in 2013 and 9% in 2014 while China slows down to 9% and 8.6% respectively.

'Gold miners Q3 results to attract investors'
The end of 2011 is a golden opportunity to participate in an anticipated upside for mining equities, says Tocqueville Asset Management Senior Managing Director John Hathaway. In this exclusive interview, Hathaway predicted that once investors realize higher gold prices will stick, they will take a chance on the big upside waiting in the junior and senior space.
Gold set to crash to $1000/oz in 3 years on potential surplus
Gold may be headed downward to $1000 an ounce within three years as a potential surplus in the commodity will see lower prices as investor demand saps off, according to Christoph Eibl, founding partner of Tiberius Asset Management said in an interview to Reuters

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